For example, Malbec has seen a surge in
planted acreage over the last few years. If we consider bearing acreage versus
non-bearing it will be noted that planting commitments were made in 2012 to
plant new Melbac (data prior to 2012 is not definitive enough). Roughly, 30
percent of the total acreage for Malbec is just coming on-line in 2015. This
means that wineries and vineyards are anticipating an up-swing in demand for
Melbac wines. Comparatively, Syrah has seen a negative 3% change in 2014 versus
2013; granted the Syrah base isn't very large (approximately 19,000 acres in
California). Cabernet Sauvignon continues to be the star performer in
California considering commitment to acreage. But, in crush numbers alone, even
Cabernet Sauvignon decreased in 2014.
California acreage committed to all types
of grapes (2014) was 928,000 of which wine grapes account for 66% of the total
committed acreage. Overall, acreage committed to all grapes was down 0.5
percent 2014 vs. 2013. Elaborating on the point made earlier; the time before
the vines become "bearing" is 3 to 4 years and farmers today are
projecting that other crops can produce higher yield crops than grapes (wine,
raisin, or table grapes).
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